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Who I Predicted
BEST PICTURE
Cold Mountain
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Lost in Translation
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

BEST DIRECTOR
Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
Peter Jackson, LOTR: The Return of the King
Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain
Peter Weir, Master and Commander

BEST ACTRESS
Scarlett Johansson, Girl with a Pearl Earring
Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give
Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain
Charlize Theron, Monster
Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

BEST ACTOR
Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog
Jude Law, Cold Mountain
Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
Sean Penn, Mystic River

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April
Holly Hunter, Thirteen
Laura Linney, Mystic River
Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alec Baldwin, The Cooler
Albert Finney, Big Fish
Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Peter Sarsgaard, Shattered Glass
Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Finding Nemo, Stanton/Peterson/Reynolds
In America, The Sheridan Clan
Lost in Translation, Sofia Coppola
Love Actually, Richard Curtis
The Station Agent, Thomas McCarthy

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Splendor, Berman/Pulcini
Cold Mountain, Anthony Minghella
LOTR: Return of the King, Walsh/Boyens/Jackson
Mystic River, Brian Helgeland
Seabiscuit, Gary Ross

BEST FOREIGN FILM
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Goodbye, Lenin! (Germany)
Osama (Afghanistan)
Twin Sisters (The Netherlands)
Valentin (Argentina)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Girl with a Pearl Earring, Eduardo Serra
The Last Samurai, John Toll
LOTR: The Return of the King, Andrew Lesnie
Master and Commander, Russell Boyd
Seabiscuit, John Schwartzman

BEST FILM EDITING
LOTR: The Return of the King, Selkirk/Collins
Lost in Translation, Sarah Flack
Master and Commander, Lee Smith
Mystic River, Joel Cox
Seabiscuit, William Goldenberg

BEST ART DIRECTION
Big Fish, Dennis Gassner
Cold Mountain, Dante Ferretti
LOTR: The Return of the King, Grant Major
Master and Commander, William Sandell
Seabiscuit, Jeannine C. Oppewall

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Cold Mountain, Ann Roth
The Last Samurai, Ngila Dickson
Peter Pan, Janet Patterson
Pirates of the Caribbean, Penny Rose
Seabiscuit, Judianna Makovsky

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Big Fish, Danny Elfman
Cold Mountain, Gabriel Yared
Girl with a Pearl Earring, Alexandre Desplat
The Last Samurai, Hans Zimmer
Seabiscuit, Randy Newman

BEST SOUND
Cold Mountain
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Seabiscuit

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"The Heart of Every Girl," Mona Lisa Smile
"Into the West," LOTR:ROTK
"Man of the Hour," Big Fish
"A Mighty Wind," A Mighty Wind
"You Will Be My Ain True Love," Cold Mountain

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Balseros
Capturing the Friedmans
My Architect
My Flesh and Blood
The Weather Underground

BEST SOUND EFFECTS
Kill Bill, Vol. 1
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Peter Pan
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

BEST MAKEUP
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Monster
Peter Pan
Who Oscar Nominated

BEST PICTURE
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Lost in Translation
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Mystic River
Seabiscuit

BEST DIRECTOR
Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation
Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
Peter Jackson, LOTR: The Return of the King
Fernando Meirelles, City of God
Peter Weir, Master and Commander

BEST ACTRESS
Keisha Castle-Hughes, Whale Rider
Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give
Samantha Morton, In America
Charlize Theron, Monster
Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

BEST ACTOR
Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog
Jude Law, Cold Mountain
Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
Sean Penn, Mystic River

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog
Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April
Marcia Gay Harden, Mystic River
Holly Hunter, Thirteen
Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alec Baldwin, The Cooler
Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams
Djimon Hounsou, In America
Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Barbarian Invasions, Denys Arcand
Dirty Pretty Things, Steven Knight
Finding Nemo, Stanton/Peterson/Reynolds
In America, The Sheridan Clan
Lost in Translation, Sofia Coppola

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Splendor, Berman/Pulcini
City of God, Bráulio Mantovani
LOTR: Return of the King, Walsh/Boyens/Jackson
Mystic River, Brian Helgeland
Seabiscuit, Gary Ross

BEST FOREIGN FILM
The Barbarian Invasions (Canada)
Evil (Sweden)
Falcon (The Czech Republic)
The Twilight Samurai (Japan)
Twin Sisters (The Netherlands)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
City of God, Cesar Charlone
Cold Mountain, John Seale
Girl with a Pearl Earring, Eduardo Serra
Master and Commander, Russell Boyd
Seabiscuit, John Schwartzman

BEST FILM EDITING
City of God, Daniel Rezende
Cold Mountain, Walter Murch
LOTR: Return of the King, Jamie Selkirk
Master and Commander, Lee Smith
Seabiscuit, William Goldenberg

BEST ART DIRECTION
Girl with a Pearl Earring, Ben Van Os
The Last Samurai, Lilly Kilvert
LOTR: The Return of the King, Grant Major
Master and Commander, William Sandell
Seabiscuit, Jeannine C. Oppewall

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Girl with a Pearl Earring, Dien van Straalen
The Last Samurai, Ngila Dickson
LOTR: Return of the King, Dickson/Taylor
Master and Commander, Wendy Stites
Seabiscuit, Judianna Makovsky

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Big Fish, Danny Elfman
Cold Mountain, Gabriel Yared
Finding Nemo, Thomas Newman
House of Sand and Fog, James Horner
LOTR: Return of the King, Howard Shore

BEST SOUND
The Last Samurai
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Seabiscuit

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Into the West," LOTR: Return of the King
"A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow," A Mighty Wind
"Scarlet Tide," Cold Mountain
"The Triplets of Belleville," The Triplets of Belleville
"You Will Be My Ain True Love," Cold Mountain

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Brother Bear
Finding Nemo
The Triplets of Belleville

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Balseros
Capturing the Friedmans
The Fog of War
My Architect
The Weather Underground

BEST SOUND EFFECTS
Finding Nemo
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

BEST MAKEUP
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

TALLIES FOR PROJECTED NOMINATIONS

Cold Mountain - 12
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 11
Mystic River - 7
Lost in Translation - 6
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 6
Seabiscuit - 6
Big Fish - 4
Girl with a Pearl Earring - 4
The Last Samurai - 4
Peter Pan - 3
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - 3
TALLIES FOR OSCAR'S NOMINATIONS

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 11
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 10
Cold Mountain - 7
Seabiscuit - 7
Mystic River - 6
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - 5
City of God
Finding Nemo
The Last Samurai - 4
Lost in Translation - 4


CORRECT PREDICTIONS: 62 / 97 (64%) - gah!

Past success rates in these categories:
76% in 2002, 75% in 2001, 68% in 2000, 67% in 1999, and 69% in 1998.
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