Picture/DirectorLead ActorsSupporting ActorsScreenplays

BEST PICTURE



The Alamo
Cold Mountain
In America
LOTR: The Return of the King
Mystic River




Close Competition
Big Fish
But only if it isn't too weird

The Company
But only if it's especially good Altman

Finding Nemo
But only if everything else disappoints

Girl with a Pearl Earring
But only if it's better than the book

Hero
But only if it's ruled eligible

House of Sand and Fog
In This World
The Statement
But only if PR and reviews are huge

BEST DIRECTOR



Clint Eastwood, Mystic River
Peter Jackson, LOTR: Return of the King
Norman Jewison, The Statement
Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain
Jim Sheridan, In America



Close Competition
Shari S. Berman & Robert Pulcini, American Splendor
Tim Burton, Big Fish
But only if they aren't too weird, and B.O. is high

Robert Altman, The Company
Bernardo Bertolucci, The Dreamers
But only if they're career-level achievements

Alejandro González Iñárritu, 21 Grams
Michael Winterbottom, In This World
But only if PR and reviews are huge

Vadim Perelman, House of Sand and Fog
Peter Webber, Girl with a Pearl Earring
But only if they are stunning debuts

Zhang Yimou, Hero
Errol Morris, The Fog of War
But only if Oscar is feeling adventurous


BEST ACTRESS



Cate Blanchett, Veronica Guerin
Jennifer Connelly, House of Sand and Fog
Scarlett Johansson, Girl with a Pearl Earring
Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain
Samantha Morton, In America




Close Competition
Cate Blanchett, The Missing
Scarlett Johansson, Lost in Translation
Nicole Kidman, Dogville
But only if they outshine the stars' other films

Helen Mirren, The Clearing
Gwyneth Paltrow, Sylvia
Sarah Polley, My Life without Me
But only if box-office really catches fire

Meg Ryan, In the Cut
Naomi Watts, 21 Grams
But only if the films get noticed, and aren't too dark

Uma Thurman, Kill Bill, Vol. One
But only if she's hilarious, and not Mia redux

Catherine Zeta-Jones, Intolerable Cruelty
But only if she's hilarious, and not Velma redux

BEST ACTOR



Michael Caine, The Statement
Paddy Considine, In America
Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog
Jude Law, Cold Mountain
Sean Penn, Mystic River



Close Competition
Sean Penn, 21 Grams
But only if he outshines his Mystic role

Lázaro Ramos, Madame Sata
Campbell Scott, Secret Lives of Dentists
But only if key critics' groups take notice

George Clooney, Intolerable Cruelty
Hugh Grant, Love, Actually
But only if they transcend their usual personas

Peter Dinklage, The Station Agent
Robert Downey Jr., The Singing Detective
But only if the films get noticed, and aren't too weird

Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
Paul Giamatti, American Splendor
Bill Murray, Lost in Translation
But only if Oscar is feeling adventurous

Anthony Hopkins, The Human Stain
But only if Oscar is feeling conservative


BEST SUPPORING ACTRESS



Stockard Channing, Anything Else
Blythe Danner, Sylvia
Hope Davis, American Splendor
Laura Linney, Mystic River
Charlotte Rampling, The Statement




Close Competition
Marcia Gay Harden, Mystic River
Tilda Swinton, The Statement
But only if their co-supports don't outshine them

Joan Allen, Off the Map
Patricia Clarkson, The Station Agent
Robin Wright Penn, The Singing Detective
Alfre Woodard, Radio
But only if box-office or critics groups notice

Nicole Kidman, The Human Stain
But only if she's convincingly frumpy

Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
But only if it's released in time

Atkins/Portman/Zellweger, Cold Mountain
Bonham Carter/Lange, Big Fish
Dunst/Gyllenhaal/Stevenson, Mona Lisa Smile
Gyllenhaal/Moreno/Steenburgen/Taylor, Casa de Los Babys
But only if each ensemble yields a stand-out pick

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR



Kevin Bacon, Mystic River
Alan Bates, The Statement
Albert Finney, Big Fish
Edward Herrmann, Intolerable Cruelty
Malcolm McDowell, The Company



Close Competition
Laurence Fishburne, Mystic River
Tim Robbins, Mystic River
Geoffrey Rush, Intolerable Cruelty
Billy Bob Thornton, Intolerable Cruelty
But only if their co-supports don't outshine them

Jeff Bridges, Seabiscuit
Daniel Craig, Sylvia
Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams
Ciaran Hinds, Veronica Guerin
Tom Wilkinson, Girl with a Pearl Earring
But only if the films are juggernauts

Viggo Mortensen, LOTR: Return of the King
Elijah Wood, LOTR: Return of the King
But only if sequel bias doesn't rule them out

Echevarría/Patric/Thornton, The Alamo
Gleeson/Hoffman/Sutherland, Cold Mountain
Harris/Sinise, The Human Stain
But only if each ensemble yields a stand-out pick


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY



Finding Nemo
In America
Intolerable Cruelty
Love, Actually
21 Grams




Close Competition
Anything Else
But only if Woody is back in shape

Bend It Like Beckham
But only if Oscar voters remember it

The Company
But only if it's especially good Altman

Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
But only if it's released in time

Hero
But only if it's ruled eligible

Kill Bill, Volume One
But only if Tarantino shows new gifts

Mona Lisa Smile
But only if it's bigger and better than expected

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY



American Splendor
Cold Mountain
Mystic River
Seabiscuit
The Statement



Close Competition
Big Fish
But only if it isn't too weird

Girl with a Pearl Earring
House of Sand and Fog
The Human Stain
But only if B.O. is good and book fans are pleased

LOTR: Return of the King
But only if sequel bias doesn't rule it out

The Singing Detective
The Station Agent
But only if audiences and critics embrace them


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Mid-Year Awards, Ten Most Wanted Films of 2003, or More Hot Leads.
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